WM 21 May 2023

Quotes

Lessons & Thoughts

What is the opposite of a black hole?

Left vs Right brain

Ikigai

Do what is uncomfortable

I did it!

Posture

How to reduce stress

Managing Time, Eisenhower's way

Testosterone

Peter Lynch

Rich vs Poor: it's how much you work it is how you work

Brenner cycle

Corporate cycle

Skyscrapers index

Why cut your losses?

Fashion index: upside down?

Quit

There are times to hang on and times to quit

Analysis

price & volume relationships

Supply & demand

Entry points

Moving averages

Continuation patterns

Weinstein 4 stages

Lies damn lies and statistics

Why does it matter?

Is racism more prominent now that in the past? If not, why is it getting more attention?

Anal-ytics

IBD index is momentum index

When to sell stocks

Macro news

Money

M2 USA

Liquidity

Loan growth

Debt ceiling discussions

Country debt to GDP

Gvt debt to GDP

Retirement age

GDP

Philly Fed index

US Empire State Manufacturing

Theory: absent of credit and capital growth, you cannot grow fast if your population growth is slow or negative and if you productivity growth is zero.

Jobs tight

Which companies would be on the front line of productivity efforts?

G7 and GDP of world's largest economies

GDP/capita

CPI

1970s scenario

Inflation = result of excess money creation

Yield curve

USDJPY

Precious metals

Gold miners down as Newcrest bids for Newmont

Crypto

Fixed income

Fed rates

10y yields

30Y

Corporate bonds

Real estate

Equities

Where are we?

Secular Bull vs Bear

Bear markets

SPX

Liquidity

Divergence: tech up vs long bonds down

QQQ

Nikkei all time highs

QQQ vs Equal weight SPX

Value matters

Earnings

Lack of breadth

% of stocks outperforming

In a bull market, it is dangerous when the generals are on the frontline and the soldiers at the back.

Bear or bored

Markets new highs and yet?

Signs of euphoria?

Ascending wedge

Head & Shoulder

Bear market probability

Elliott Wave

Greed & Fear